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Special Report

SuperInvestor: Seth Klarman on Setting Right Investment Goals

June 30, 2015

Seth Klarman is not an investor you would read about much in business media. He is one of the more reclusive kinds out there. He rarely speaks in public or grants interviews.

Klarman is known for his very deep value investing style and willingness to pursue value where others get very nervous. Some people, in fact call him Warren Buffett of his generation.

Since founding his investment partnership in 1983, Klarman has not only produced unrivalled returns (in excess of 20% per year), but he has also from time to time offered wise and timeless commentary on markets and the craft of investing.

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Benefits to VIA Members
 
  • Spotlight: Big ideas from Value Investing and why applying them in your investment decision making will be a great deal
  • InvestorInsights: Interviews with experienced value investors, learners, and deep thinkers
  • StockTalk: Thorough analysis of business models of companies (without any recommendations)
  • Behaviouronomics: Deep analysis of human behaviour and how it impacts investment decision making
  • BookWorm: Reviews of the best books on Value Investing and related subjects
  • Free Course – Financial Statement Analysis for Smart People (otherwise priced at Rs 5,900)
  • Archives: Instant access to our huge archive from the past three years
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Emerging Moats: Some Thoughts

June 30, 2015

Compare two of the largest sources of news in the world today – New York Times (NYT) and Twitter. The former has market capitalization of US$ 2.3 billion, and the latter is 10-times bigger at US$ 23 billion.

This is despite that, in 2014, NYT earned US$ 1.6 billion in sales while Twitter earned lesser at US$ 1.4 billion. What is more, the former ended with a net profit of US$ 33 million, while the latter closed with a net loss of US$ 575 million.

So, what explains the huge premium that smaller-sized, loss-making Twitter commands over the long-standing and profitable NYT?

The answer is cash flows.

Now, this seems bizarre at first because NYT is profitable and has a history of generating positive cash flows, while Twitter remains loss making and continues to burn a lot of cash year after year.

But then, go back to security analysis text books, and a great business is defined by its ability to generate cash flows in the future.

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Want to Read More? This content is exclusive for members of Value Investing Almanack. Login to read if you are a member. Else, click here to subscribe.

Benefits to VIA Members
 
  • Spotlight: Big ideas from Value Investing and why applying them in your investment decision making will be a great deal
  • InvestorInsights: Interviews with experienced value investors, learners, and deep thinkers
  • StockTalk: Thorough analysis of business models of companies (without any recommendations)
  • Behaviouronomics: Deep analysis of human behaviour and how it impacts investment decision making
  • BookWorm: Reviews of the best books on Value Investing and related subjects
  • Free Course – Financial Statement Analysis for Smart People (otherwise priced at Rs 5,900)
  • Archives: Instant access to our huge archive from the past three years
Become a VIA Member. Click to Subscribe

Life 2.0: Serendipity

June 29, 2015

When was the last time you did something for the first time?

It’s an ordinary looking question but it has the power to create magic in our lives. How? Please allow me to digress a bit for a while and I’ll circle back to this line of thought little later in the post.

It’s common knowledge that every action produces an equal and opposite reaction. That’s Newton’s Law. Simply put, every cause has an effect. What’s noteworthy about this phenomenon is that some actions produce immediate effect, for example if you put your hand in fire you get burnt. Some other actions have delayed effect like you overeat unhealthy food and it makes you fat but the result isn’t immediate.

The above two cause-effect relationships are well known to everybody but there are some actions which may not seem to produce any recognizable effects, immediately or even in perceivable near future, but they end up creating significant unintended consequences.

Notice the term ‘unintended’ which means you could never have known in advance about the kind of consequences or results that will eventually be produced by your actions. Let me tell you a story.

This is a story of a guy with an uninteresting and dead end corporate job. There was no hope for him to become wealthy in his career. However in his spare time, i.e., weekends and evenings, he was always involved in some hobby projects or activities.

He learnt computer programming and developed few computer games which nobody bought. He came up with few business plans but could never convince any investors for his ideas. He attended business writing classes. He used to draw cartoons and send them for publication. He did public speaking courses. He learnt about human psychology.
[Read more…] about Life 2.0: Serendipity

Governance: Know Thy Manager

June 20, 2015

In the original version of his book The Intelligent Investor, Ben Graham began his discussion of a chapter on “The Investor as Business Owner” by pointing out that, in theory…

“…the stockholders as a class are king. Acting as a majority they can hire and fire managements and bend them completely to their will.”

But he changed this part in the subsequent editions of the book. In practice, says Graham…

“…the shareholders are a complete washout. As a class they show neither intelligence nor alertness. They vote in sheeplike fashion for whatever the management recommends and no matter how poor the management’s record of accomplishment may be.

The only way to inspire the average American shareholder to take any independently intelligent action would be by exploding a firecracker under him.”

Well, this is a fact that is true for not just American shareholders, but all shareholders. Most of us overlook the human aspect of operating a business. This is despite the fact that, in most cases, the future success of a business is directly tied to the quality of its people.
[Read more…] about Governance: Know Thy Manager

Life 2.0: Journaling

May 29, 2015

Today I am going to share an insight that shook my life pretty hard, for the good of course.

How many times it has happened with you that after reading a book you thought that you understood the idea until you were asked to explain it. The idea seemed pretty clear in your head but the moment you had to verbalise it you discovered that either you didn’t have a proper grasp on the idea at the first place or you were unable to explain it in a logical coherent way to a third person.

This is the kind of silent reaction I got from people “You’re telling me that you just finished reading a compelling book but can’t explain the central idea in few sentences?”

This problem haunted me for a long time. Then one fine day I discovered the Feynman Technique, which says that the mere action of writing something down allows for a more effective integration of the learning. This further led me to the idea of Journaling. It was a Eureka moment!

Let me first share my definition of journaling. Journaling is simply an activity of writing in plain language about what’s going on around you and what your thoughts are about them. It can include things like your future goals, plans, dreams, reminders to yourself, comments on ideas/people or any unrelated thing that crosses your mind. It’s a conversation that you have with yourself.

So what’s so special about journaling? Stick with me through the rest of the post and you might find some surprising insights.

Journaling allows you to take fuzzy thinking and distil it into precise line of thought. If you want to think better you have to start writing your thoughts. It’s not a common knowledge that writing, apart from being a communication tool, is a thinking tool too. Famous author, Dan Pink, further validated my belief in this commencement speech.
[Read more…] about Life 2.0: Journaling

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