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Wit and Wisdom on Investing, Business, and Life

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Here’s to Continued Luck

March 27, 2019

According to an estimate, 2.5 crores people were born in our country in the year 1981. I was one of them. Of those 2.5 crore infants, about half (45%) were born to parents living under the poverty line. Fortunately, I wasn’t one of them. And that’s perhaps the greatest fortune I’ve had in my entire life. That one event — being born to financially sound, kind, educated, and loving parents — contributed about 95% to the outcome that today I am not among those who don’t know where their next meal will come from.

Warren Buffett calls it winning the ovarian lottery. He writes —

I’ve had it so good in this world, you know. The odds were fifty-to-one against me born in the United States in 1930. I won the lottery the day I emerged from the womb by being in the United States instead of in some other country where my chances would have been way different.

Imagine there are two identical twins in the womb, both equally bright and energetic. And the genie says to them, “One of you is going to be born in the United States, and one of you is going to be born in Bangladesh. And if you wind up in Bangladesh, you will pay no taxes. What percentage of your income would you bid to be the one this is born in the United States?” It says something about the fact that society has something to do with your fate and not just your innate qualities. The people who say, “I did it all myself,” and think of themselves as Horatio Alger – believe me, they’d bid more to be in the United States than in Bangladesh. That’s the Ovarian Lottery.

My streak of luck didn’t end with my ovarian lottery.
[Read more…] about Here’s to Continued Luck

Wasted Hours and Saved Years

February 28, 2019

Andrew Carnegie and Henry Ford are considered among the handful of capitalists who played a defining role in building America. The early 20th century skyscrapers in the US stood on Carnegie’s steel and Ford revolutionized the automobile industry with his low-cost cars.

Carnegie became the richest man in America when he retired and sold his company to JP Morgan for a sum that was equivalent to $400 billion in today’s money. Sadly, Andrew’s billions were amassed at the cost of factory workers’ sweat and blood. Literally.

The working conditions in steel mills in the late 19th century and early 20th century were inhumane and unsafe. Some estimate that the rate of serious accidents (often leading to death) was as high as 10 percent. Twelve to fourteen hours a day and six to seven days a week was standard at that time. There was no extra pay for overtime. Not only that, the hourly wages were squeezed so the hilt to drive profitability. And any resistance from labour unions was often crushed ruthlessly with the help of private armies like Pinkertons. (Trivia: at one time Pinkertons had more armed personnel in their squad than the entire US national army.)

[Read more…] about Wasted Hours and Saved Years

How to Go from Riches to Rags

January 24, 2019

Richard Branson is a British business magnate, investor, author, and philanthropist. He’s the founder of the Virgin Group, which controls more than 400 companies.

When someone asked Branson how to be a millionaire, he replied, “Start with a billion dollars and invest in an Airline.”

Vijay Mallya would probably be questioning Branson, “Aisa tha to pehle kyun nahi bataya?” (translation: why didn’t you tell me this earlier?)

So that’s the first way to go from riches to rags — buy an airline. Now, I don’t know of a way to verify if Branson actually said that. So let me tell you another story which is true, verifiable, and recent.
[Read more…] about How to Go from Riches to Rags

The Risk of Being Out of the Game

December 27, 2018

In 2014, JPMorgan Asset Management did a study and discovered that the 40 best days accounted for more than the entire S&P 500 return from 1993–2013. In other words, if someone traded only on these specific 40 days, i.e., invested his money in S&P 500 in the morning and sold in the evening then he would have the same returns as someone who stayed invested for 20 years.
[Read more…] about The Risk of Being Out of the Game

The Dagger of Debt

November 22, 2018

Archimedes — a Greek mathematician — was born in 287 BC in the seaport city of Syracuse, Sicily. Some consider him as the greatest mathematician of all time. Although he’s known for the discovery of Archimedes Principle, his often quoted for his famous saying —

Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world.

While Archimedes did not invent the lever, his did extensive work on the usage of levers. Archimedes designed block-and-tackle pulley systems, allowing sailors to use the principle of leverage to lift objects that would otherwise have been too heavy to move.

A lever is a simple machine that amplifies an input force to provide a greater output force, which is said to provide leverage. There isn’t a single mechanical device in the world which doesn’t use the laws of the lever.

When people realized that leverage could magnify the effect of non-physical things too the first thing they tried it on was money. In the last few decades, the world of finance has taken Archimedes’ words literally.
[Read more…] about The Dagger of Debt

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