• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content

The One Percent Almanack

Wit and Wisdom on Investing, Business, and Life

  • Home
  • Members
  • Log In
  • Show Search
Hide Search

Spotlight: The Tyranny of Valuations

March 3, 2015

Valuing stocks seems like a tough task in itself and more difficult is drawing a line between paying up and overpaying. Here are some insights on this topic I draw from investing legends and their experience.

Charlie Munger said this in his landmark speech titled – A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business…

Over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you’re not going to make much different than a 6% return—even if you originally buy it at a huge discount.

 Conversely, if a business earns 18% on capital over 20 or 30 years, even if you pay an expensive looking price, you’ll end up with a fine result.

Now, if I were to look at some of the high quality businesses in India, it surely seems that investors are taking Mr. Munger’s idea about paying an “expensive looking price” very seriously. Here are, for instance, the P/E ratios of some high quality businesses…

 

Data Source: Screnner.in

In Lewis Carroll’s “Through the Looking Glass”, Alice’s finds that she has to run faster and faster just to stay in place.

Well, in our country,” said Alice, still panting a little, “you’d generally get to somewhere else if you run very fast for a long time, as we’ve been doing.

Here’s the advice Red Queen, an antagonist in the story, offers Alice…

A slow sort of country!” said the Queen. “Now, here, you see, it takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. If you want to get somewhere else, you must run at least twice as fast as that!

In sum, the Red Queen advises Alice to exert ever more effort just to maintain her current position.
Evolutionary biologist Leigh Van Valen took inspiration from the Red Queen’s words and proposed a principle called the Red Queen Effect in 1973 to explain how, for an evolutionary system, continuing development is needed just in order to maintain its fitness relative to the systems it is co-evolving with.
In biology, this means that animals and plants don’t just disappear because of bad luck in a static and unchanging environment, like a gambler losing it all to a run of bad luck at the casino.
Instead, they face constant change – a deteriorating environment and more successful competitors and predators – that requires them to continually adapt and evolve new species just to survive.
This theory has been applied to explain the relatively high speeds of rabbits and foxes, each of which developed faster running abilities in an attempt to gain respective advantage in the predator-prey relationship between these two animals.
[Read more…] about Spotlight: The Tyranny of Valuations

Life 2.0: Habits of Life

February 27, 2015

The key to bringing lasting change in your life is by way of great habits. And the best way to build great habits is by starting small and building up.

I hope you would agree with me that life isn’t all about stock market investing or for that matter just about money. Making money is only a means to a greater end i.e., living a happy life.

It’s true that for many people stock market investing is a passion and they don’t do it just for money. However, it circles back to the logic that the activity of investing in stock market makes them happy. So investing is just a tool to achieve something more important – personal happiness.

The age old wisdom suggests that happiness is brought about by the right balance of financial, mental, physical and spiritual health. What financial abundance does is that it gives you an option to stop worrying about money all the time and focus your energy towards other happiness factors.

But you don’t have to wait till you are financially free to start your work on other areas of life. You can start today. Let’s pick up one area, say health and see how you can bring a change in this part of your life.

Everybody knows that to be more healthy and fit, you need to exercise and eat well. It is a common knowledge and part of everybody’s new year resolution. Problem is that these resolutions are short lived and motivation to carry on the new activity dies down rapidly after few days.
[Read more…] about Life 2.0: Habits of Life

EthicalAnalyst: Ethics in Investment Business

February 20, 2015

Honesty and ethical practices are of utmost importance in any business, and especially in the investment business that remains clouded under mistrust. What’s wrong and what must be righted is what we discuss here.

The richest one percent of this country owns half our country’s wealth, five trillion dollars. One third of that comes from hard work, two thirds comes from inheritance, interest on interest accumulating to widows and idiot sons and what I do, stock and real estate speculation. It’s bullshit. You got ninety percent of the American public out there with little or no net worth. I create nothing. I own. We make the rules, pal. The news, war, peace, famine, upheaval, the price per paper clip. We pick that rabbit out of the hat while everybody sits out there wondering how the hell we did it. Now you’re not naive enough to think we’re living in a democracy, are you buddy? It’s the free market. And you’re a part of it. You’ve got that killer instinct. Stick around pal, I’ve still got a lot to teach you.


[Read more…] about EthicalAnalyst: Ethics in Investment Business

Corporate Governance: When Words Speak Loud

February 15, 2015

We discuss the quality of language used by companies in their annual reports and other investor communication, and suggest why this may be a result and indicator of governance or mis-governance.

In August 1998, the US stock market regulator, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) released a book called A Plain English Handbook.

Now, you may wonder, “What business does a stock market regulator has to focus on plain English?”

The SEC released this handbook to show corporate managers, especially CEOs, how they could use well-established techniques for writing in plain English to create clearer and more informative disclosure documents like annual reports, while meeting all legal requirements.

The preface of the handbook was written by none other than Warren Buffett – the man who writes the world’s best shareholders letters – and this is what he wrote –

For more than forty years, I’ve studied the documents that public companies file. Too often, I’ve been unable to decipher just what is being said or, worse yet, had to conclude that nothing was being said.

There are several possible explanations as to why I and others sometimes stumble over an accounting note or indenture description. Maybe we simply don’t have the technical knowledge to grasp what the writer wishes to convey. Or perhaps the writer doesn’t understand what he or she is talking about.
[Read more…] about Corporate Governance: When Words Speak Loud

InvestorInsights: Neeraj Marathe

February 13, 2015

Neeraj is an investor based in Pune, Maharashtra. Investing is his passion and investing in equity is what excites him most. He has built his core competency around investing in Indian listed companies, specifically mid-caps and small-caps, using fundamental analysis and value investing principles.

By nature, Neeraj is conservative and risk-averse, and it spills over in his approach towards investing too. He is an avid reader and likes books based on value investing, behavioural finance and psychology.

While I have met Neeraj just a few times, I have come to respect his investing acumen via whatever little discussions we’ve had.

[Read more…] about InvestorInsights: Neeraj Marathe

  • « Go to Previous Page
  • Go to page 1
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Go to page 69
  • Go to page 70
  • Go to page 71
  • Go to page 72
  • Go to Next Page »

Handcrafted with in India